Журнал Российского общества по неразрушающему контролю и технической диагностике
The journal of the Russian society for non-destructive testing and technical diagnostic
 
| Русский Русский | English English |
 
Главная
22 | 11 | 2024
2016, 03 March

DOI: 10.14489/td.2016.03.pp.043-051 

Kluev V.V., Rezchikov A.F., Kushnikov V.A., Ivaschenko V.A., Bogomolov A.S., Filimonyuk L.Yu., Yandybaeva N.V.
THE MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR CONTROL, DIAGNOSTICS AND FORECASTING THE NATIONAL SECURITY OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
(pp. 43-51)

Abstract. An approach to modeling the social and economic processes which influence on the national security of the Russian Federation is offered. The mathematical system dynamics models for safety characteristics control and forecasting are developed. The characteristics are defined in the Russian President Decree № 537 “About National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation up to 2020”. The graph of cause-effect links between the characteristics is made. It is a basis for non-linear differential equations system which solution lets forecast changes of the characteristics. Tendencies of these changes are discovered helps to developed models. It is necessary for creating the control and diagnostics systems of the national security of the Russian Federation.

Keywords: national security, system dynamics, control, diagnostics, forecasting.

V. V. Kluev
JSC NIIIN MSIA “Spectrum”, Moscow, Russia

A. F. Rezchikov, V. A. Kushnikov, V. A. Ivaschenko, A. S. Bogomolov, L. Yu. Filimonyuk
Institute of Precision Mechanics and Control of RAS, Saratov, Russia. E-mail: Данный адрес e-mail защищен от спам-ботов, Вам необходимо включить Javascript для его просмотра.

N. V. Yandybaeva 
Russian Academy of National Economy and Government Service, Balakovo, Russia

 

 

1. Matrosov V. M., Matrosova N. I. (1999). The methodology of complex study of security and Russia transition to sustainable development using mathematical models and new information technologies. Moscow: Akademiia – Izdatel'stvo MGUK.
2. Sadovnichii V. A., Akaev A. A., Korotaev A. V., Malkov S. Iu. (2012). Modelling and forecasting of the global dynamics. Scientific council on the program of the Presidium of Russian Academy of Sciences «Economics and sociology of knowledge». Moscow: ISPI RAN.
3. Koptiug V. A., Matrosov V. M., Levashov V. K. et al. (2001). Approaches to the development of national strategies for sustainable development in Russian Federation. Moscow: Akademiia.
4. Forrester J. (1974). The dynamics of the city development. Moscow: Progress.
5. Iandybaeva N. V., Kushnikov V. A. (2014). A mathematical model for forecasting the indexes of economic security of Russian Federation. Vestnik Astrakhanskogo gosudarstvennogo tekhnicheskogo universiteta. Seriia Upravlenie, vychislitel'naia tekhnika i informatika, (3), pp. 93-101.
6. Kushnikov V. A., Rezchikov A. F., Tsvirkun A. D. (1998). Control in main-computer systems with computeraided goal correction. Automation and Remote Control, 59(7), Pt 2, pp. 1040-1046.
7. Klyuev V. V., Rezchikov A. F., Kushnikov V. A. et al. (2014). An analysis of critical situations caused by unfavorable concurrence of circumstances. Kontrol'. Diagnostika, (7), pp. 12-16. doi: 10.14489/td.2014.07.pp.012-016
8. Rezchikov A. F., Tsvirkun A. D., Kushnikov V. A. et al. (2015). Methods of predictive assessment of socioeconomic indicators of national security. Problemy upravleniia, (5), pp. 37-44.
9. Iandybaeva N. V., Kushnikov V. A. (2015). A mathematical model to predict the changes in national security parameters of Russian Federation. Nauchnoe obozrenie, (10), pp. 115-120.
10. Kyuev V. V., Baiburin V. B., Rezchikov A. F. et al. (2015). Models and algorithms of global safety monitoring on a basis of trees’ events. Kontrol'. Diagnostika, (8), pp. 70-74.
11. Klyuev V. V., Novozhilov G. V., Rezchikov A. F., Bogomolov A. S. (2014). Resource approach to security systems «MAN - OBJECT – ENVIRONMENT». Moscow: Izdatel'skii dom «Spektr».
12. Klyuev V. V., Rezchikov A. F., Bogomolov A. S., Filimoniuk L. Iu. (2013). Resources' interaction of complex manmachine systems in critical situations. Kontrol'. Diagnostika, (4), pp. 41-45.
13. Kliuev V. V., Rezchikov A. F., Bogomolov A. S., Filimoniuk L. Iu. (2013). The conception of complex resource for research of «MAN – OBJECT – ENVIRONMENT» systems’ safety. Kontrol'. Diagnostika, (8), pp. 44-55.
14. Rezchikov A. F., Bogomolov A. S., Ivashchenko V. A., Filimoniuk L. Iu. (2015). Approach for establishing and maintaining the security of complex systems based on automata models. Managing large systems: collection of scientific papers. Vol. 54. (pp. 179-194). Moscow: IPU RAN.
15. Rezchikov A. F., Tverdokhlebov V. A. (2010). Causal complexes of interactions in production processes. Problemy upravleniia, (3), pp. 51-60.
16. Rezchikov A. F., Tverdokhlebov V. A., Ivashchenko V. A. et al. (2015). The critical situation in the manmachine systems. Saratov: Nauka.
17. Rezchikov A. F., Tverdokhlebov V. A., Ivashchenko V. A. et al. (2013). Man. Machine. Environment. Saratov: Nauka.
18. Russian national security strategy until the year 2020. President decree No. 537 12 May 2009. Available at: http://www.scrf.gov.ru (Accessed: 15.10.2015).
19. Federal State Statistics Service. Available at: http://www.gks.ru (Accessed: 10.05.2015).

 

 

This article  is available in electronic format (PDF).

The cost of a single article is 350 rubles. (including VAT 18%). After you place an order within a few days, you will receive following documents to your specified e-mail: account on payment and receipt to pay in the bank.

After depositing your payment on our bank account we send you file of the article by e-mail.

To order articles please fill out the form below:

Purchase digital version of a single article


Type the characters you see in the picture below



 

 

 
Rambler's Top100 Яндекс цитирования